← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 38% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Brescia +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Filippo Nardi · Reggiana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Filippo Romagna · Reggiana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Muhamed Varela Djamanca · Reggiana |
| 84' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 84' | 🟥 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 192.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1384.48 | 1431.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.85 | 4.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 47.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.09 | 26.77 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |