← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.12 |
| Pisa win | 25% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Catanzaro |
| 36' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 53' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Ambrosino · Catanzaro |
| 54' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Ambrosino · Catanzaro |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Marius Marin · Catanzaro |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Verna · Catanzaro |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 768.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1384.23 | 1477.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.67 | 2.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 45.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 27.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |