← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Feralpisalo win | 21% | 5.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ternana −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Filippo Di Stefano · Ternana |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mattia Tonetto · Feralpisalo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Denis Hergheligiu · Feralpisalo |
| 68' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Ternana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Antony Iannarilli · Ternana |
| 81' | 🟨 | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mattia Zennaro · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 38.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1385.36 | 1387.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.16 | -32.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |