← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cosenza win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 16' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 22' | 🟨 | Mateusz Praszelik · Cosenza |
| 27' | ⚽ | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 43' | 🟨 | Federico Zuccon · Cosenza |
| 66' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 81' | 🟨 | Baldovino Cimino · Cosenza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andrea Tessiore · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Negro · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valerio Crespi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 891.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1472.86 | 1406.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.88 | -24.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 25.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.27 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |