← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 50% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Sudtirol win | 20% | 5.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bari −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Sudtirol |
| 15' | 🟥 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Sudtirol |
| 20' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Bari |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 36' | ⚽ | Kevin Vinetot · Sudtirol |
| 39' | 🟨 | Daouda Peeters · Sudtirol |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kevin Vinetot · Sudtirol |
| 71' | ⚽ | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 75' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 75' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 84' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 69.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1521.29 | 1498.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.50 | -50.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 45.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 27.80 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |