← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Sudtirol win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Como 1907 +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Como 1907 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Simone Verdi · Como 1907 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Como 1907 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Oliver Abildgaard · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1510.07 | 1498.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.81 | 20.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.91 | 4.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.64 | 26.49 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |