← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 36% | 2.79 |
| Brescia win | 34% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Brescia +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Alexander Jallow · Brescia |
| 14' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 14' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Sampdoria |
| 24' | 🟨 | Pajtim Kasami · Sampdoria |
| 34' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 41' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Alexander Jallow · Brescia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 86' | ⚽ | Simone Giordano · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 32.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1415.69 | 1502.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.07 | 37.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| league points | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.91 | 8.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 24.69 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |