← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Szymon Żurkowski · Spezia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Drissa Camara · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | João Moutinho · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 31.00 | 488.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1474.12 | 1591.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.94 | 10.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 24.34 | 25.64 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |