← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 43% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ternana win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Alessandro Celli · Ternana |
| 49' | ⚽ | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kees de Boer · Ternana |
| 60' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
| 62' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 68' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
| 73' | 🟥 | Giacomo Calò · Cosenza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Costantino Favasuli · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 154.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1426.92 | 1365.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.73 | -14.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 25.59 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |