← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pisa +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 30' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 31' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marco D'Alessandro · Pisa |
| 45' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Cremonese |
| 50' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 69' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 154.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1477.07 | 1566.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.04 | 29.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 20.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 28.29 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |