← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Dec 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Catanzaro win | 26% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Palermo −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 16' | 🟨 | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 44' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 49' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 61' | 🟨 | Panos Katseris · Catanzaro |
| 68' | 🟨 | Alessio Buttaro · Palermo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 82' | ⚽ | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Miranda · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Oliveri · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 487.00 | 760.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1529.32 | 1368.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.16 | 16.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |