← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 26, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Ternana win | 30% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Palermo +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Niccolò Corrado · Ternana |
| 31' | ⚽ | Fabio Lucioni · Palermo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mamadou Coulibaly · Palermo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Niccolò Corrado · Ternana |
| 75' | 🟥 | Niccolò Corrado · Ternana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 25.00 | 482.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1362.25 | 1532.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.09 | -38.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 7.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.54 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 28.68 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |