← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Brescia win | 25% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 14' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Pisa |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tomás Esteves · Pisa |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 147.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1480.73 | 1407.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.07 | -48.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 14.09 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 24.83 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |