← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 56% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Feralpisalo win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Como 1907 −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Daniele Baselli · Como 1907 |
| 3' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 13' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Feralpisalo |
| 17' | 🟨 | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Feralpisalo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Daniele Baselli · Como 1907 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
| 85' | 🟥 | Gaetano Letizia · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 24.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1496.02 | 1403.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.09 | -33.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.61 |
| league points | 21.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 27.29 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |