← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Modena win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Simon Sohm · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Edoardo Duca · Modena |
| 63' | 🟨 | Simon Sohm · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Andrea Seculin · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anthony Partipilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 481.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1596.21 | 1459.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.56 | 13.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 12.91 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.23 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.91 | 26.07 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |