← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Collu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 37% | 2.76 |
| Venezia FC win | 33% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Nicholas Pierini · Venezia FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 68' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Bari |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ali Dembélé · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 55.00 | 389.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1552.90 | 1541.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.39 | 15.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 25.58 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |