← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Lecco win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 13' | 🟨 | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 19' | 🟨 | Hernani · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 23' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Lecco |
| 31' | 🟨 | Hernani · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 31' | 🟥 | Hernani · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 38' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Lecco |
| 42' | ⚽ | Nicolò Buso · Lecco |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Lecco |
| 57' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| 70' | ⚽ | Gabriel Charpentier · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leandro Chichizola · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| coach days | 42.00 | 468.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1441.77 | 1609.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.47 | 28.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 2.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.57 | 25.60 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |