← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Cittadella win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Palermo −0.75 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Francesco Amatucci · Cittadella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 468.00 | 864.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1546.89 | 1438.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.86 | -3.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 45.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 27.26 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |