← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Brescia win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cremonese +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 13' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 17' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 17' | ⚽ | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 32' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 34' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tuia · Cremonese |
| 69' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Brescia |
| 89' | ⚽ | David Okereke · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 25 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 11.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1421.93 | 1546.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.88 | 16.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| league points | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 28.63 |
| state index | -0.76 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |