← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 50% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ternana win | 22% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spezia −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 36' | ⚽ | Nicolò Bertola · Spezia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jakub Łabojko · Ternana |
| 67' | ⚽ | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Rachid Kouda · Spezia |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Marco Capuano · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1487.03 | 1357.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.74 | -3.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 26.28 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |