β Serie B 2023 Β· Sat, Nov 11, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Reggiana win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana β0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Cosenza β0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | β½ | Idriz Voca Β· Cosenza |
| 28' | π¨ | Simone Mazzocchi Β· Cosenza |
| 31' | π¨ | Manolo Portanova Β· Reggiana |
| 34' | π¨ | Idriz Voca Β· Cosenza |
| 45' | π¨ | Alessandro Marcandalli Β· Reggiana |
| 71' | π¨ | Luca Cigarini Β· Reggiana |
| 76' | π¨ | Tommaso D'Orazio Β· Cosenza |
| 80' | π¨ | Mateusz Praszelik Β· Cosenza |
| 83' | β½ | Gennaro Tutino Β· Cosenza |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 133.00 | 163.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1432.04 | 1402.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.58 | 22.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| league points | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |