← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Sudtirol win | 34% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Raphael Kofler · Sudtirol |
| 21' | 🟨 | Lisandru Tramoni · Pisa |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
| 37' | 🟨 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tomás Esteves · Pisa |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Pisa |
| 50' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Pisa |
| 61' | ⚽ | Emanuele Pecorino · Sudtirol |
| 79' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · Pisa |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nícolas · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 467.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1538.40 | 1467.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.33 | -12.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 44.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.36 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |