← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Ascoli win | 31% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Como 1907 +0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 23' | 🟨 | Simone Verdi · Como 1907 |
| 28' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 43' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 68' | 🟨 | Adrian Šemper · Como 1907 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Como 1907 |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marlon Mustapha · Como 1907 |
| 88' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1449.31 | 1485.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.35 | -12.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |