← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Nov 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| Catanzaro win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Mario Šitum · Catanzaro |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 40' | ⚽ | Andrea Ghion · Catanzaro |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Giorgio Altare · Venezia FC |
| 89' | 🟥 | Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Gytkjær · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 374.00 | 739.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1537.39 | 1356.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.20 | 36.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.43 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |