← Serie B 2023 · Wed, Nov 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 59% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Brescia win | 16% | 6.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Brescia −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 17' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 27' | ⚽ | Mamadou Coulibaly · Palermo |
| 46' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fogliata · Brescia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Lund · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 464.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1541.53 | 1427.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.88 | -21.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 4.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |