← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Lecco win | 20% | 5.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Reggiana −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Lecco |
| 26' | ⚽ | Janis Antiste · Reggiana |
| 41' | 🟨 | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 66' | ⚽ | Nicolò Buso · Lecco |
| 80' | 🟨 | Przemysław Szymiński · Reggiana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mattia Tordini · Lecco |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 157.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1403.01 | 1441.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.04 | -11.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 8.14 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.22 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 28.11 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -1.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |