← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Sudtirol win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 32' | 🟨 | Andrea Giorgini · Sudtirol |
| 41' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Dennis Man · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Sudtirol |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 86' | 🟨 | Daouda Peeters · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 461.00 | 461.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1598.80 | 1548.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.36 | -6.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.36 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -11.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 28.74 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |