β Serie B 2023 Β· Sat, Nov 4, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Feralpisalo win | 21% | 4.73 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza β0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Feralpisalo β0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | π¨ | Mattia Felici Β· Feralpisalo |
| 19' | β½ | Michael Venturi Β· Cosenza |
| 30' | π¨ | Aldo Florenzi Β· Cosenza |
| 32' | π¨ | Mattia Tonetto Β· Feralpisalo |
| 62' | β½ | Karlo ButiΔ Β· Feralpisalo |
| 68' | π¨ | Simone Mazzocchi Β· Cosenza |
| 77' | π¨ | Bruno Martella Β· Feralpisalo |
| 90' | π¨ | Luca Fiordilino Β· Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 126.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1434.76 | 1397.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.42 | -37.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.61 |
| league points | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |