← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 40% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Como 1907 win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 45% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Miguel Veloso · Pisa |
| 12' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 24' | 🟨 | Lisandru Tramoni · Pisa |
| 41' | 🟨 | Cas Odenthal · Como 1907 |
| 46' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Pisa |
| 52' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 80' | 🟨 | Federico Barba · Como 1907 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 126.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1468.39 | 1484.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.90 | -5.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.50 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |