← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 43% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Brescia win | 26% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.53 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Domenico Frare · Brescia |
| 9' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 13' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 32' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 69' | ⚽ | Massimo Bertagnoli · Brescia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 81' | ⚽ | Tommy Maistrello · Cittadella |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mohamed Fares · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 856.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1429.71 | 1435.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.48 | -14.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |