← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 37' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 42' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ascoli |
| 50' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Bari |
| 80' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Claud Adjapong · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tommaso Milanese · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 34.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1549.75 | 1455.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.85 | 14.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 29.37 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |