← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Oct 29, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 69% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.48 |
| Lecco win | 12% | 9.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −1.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Palermo −1.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Lecco |
| 14' | 🟨 | Vedran Celjak · Lecco |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alessandro Sersanti · Lecco |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alessandro Caporale · Lecco |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 26 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 454.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1567.48 | 1426.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.26 | -39.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 50.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 5.86 | 4.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 2.22 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 28.59 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |