← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Oct 29, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Bari win | 31% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 57' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 58' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Bari |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nicolas Galazzi · Brescia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 80' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 270.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.72 | 1540.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.86 | -26.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| league points | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 4.95 | 8.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 28.42 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |