← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Dennis Man · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 13' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 29' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 34' | ⚽ | Dennis Man · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 36' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 54' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Emiliano Viviano · Ascoli |
| 64' | 🟥 | Emiliano Viviano · Ascoli |
| 73' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ilija Nestorovski · Ascoli |
| 86' | 🟨 | Giacomo Manzari · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Drissa Camara · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| coach days | 119.00 | 453.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1467.62 | 1586.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.60 | 9.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.28 | 25.68 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |