← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Sudtirol win | 33% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 52' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 53' | ⚽ | Facundo González · Sampdoria |
| 56' | 🟨 | Pajtim Kasami · Sampdoria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Facundo González · Sampdoria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 77' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emanuele Pecorino · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 453.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1538.88 | 1476.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.42 | -6.78 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.40 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 24.47 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |