← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 |
| Cosenza win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Spezia |
| 9' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Cosenza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Salvatore Elia · Spezia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 69' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iva Gelashvili · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Idriz Voca · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 119.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1503.07 | 1431.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.57 | 23.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 4.73 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 24.79 | 28.11 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |