β Serie B 2023 Β· Tue, Oct 24, 04:30 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Lecco win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco β0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Pisa β0.75 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | π¨ | Maxime Leverbe Β· Pisa |
| 23' | β½ | Alessandro Bianconi Β· Lecco |
| 30' | π¨ | Lisandru Tramoni Β· Pisa |
| 51' | π¨ | Alessandro Bianconi Β· Lecco |
| 51' | π¨ | Andrija Novakovich Β· Lecco |
| 63' | β½ | Lisandru Tramoni Β· Pisa |
| 75' | π¨ | Simone Canestrelli Β· Pisa |
| 90' | π¨ | Mattia Tordini Β· Lecco |
| 90' | β½ | Mattia Tordini Β· Lecco |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 115.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1489.11 | 1412.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.80 | -51.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.20 | 51.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.29 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.06 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | β |