← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Feralpisalo win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Feralpisalo −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 27' | 🟨 | Panos Katseris · Catanzaro |
| 37' | 🟨 | Federico Carraro · Feralpisalo |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 65' | 🟨 | Davide Veroli · Catanzaro |
| 74' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 78' | ⚽ (og) | Loris Bacchetti · Catanzaro |
| 88' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.59 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 719.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1351.69 | 1438.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.92 | -7.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.56 | 56.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 14.09 | 14.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.27 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.89 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |