← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Lecco win | 34% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Lecco +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Lecco |
| 31' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 35' | ⚽ | Ilija Nestorovski · Ascoli |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Lecco |
| 55' | ⚽ | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolò Buso · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 20.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1429.30 | 1450.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.44 | 4.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.33 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 29.78 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.70 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |