← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Sudtirol win | 16% | 6.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟨 | David Okereke · Cremonese |
| 53' | 🟨 | Andrea Giorgini · Sudtirol |
| 61' | 🟨 | Valentin Antov · Cremonese |
| 83' | ⚽ (og) | Luca Ravanelli · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emanuele Pecorino · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 50.00 | 446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1536.62 | 1526.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.32 | -35.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 12.91 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.55 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.50 | 27.98 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |