← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Como 1907 win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Como 1907 +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 22' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 32' | ⚽ | David Okereke · Cremonese |
| 52' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 64' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 68' | 🟥 | Luka Lochoshvili · Cremonese |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Cremonese |
| 88' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 402.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1501.11 | 1519.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.36 | -11.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 10.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 20.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 27.93 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |