← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Doveri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Pisa win | 22% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Spezia −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 89' | 🟨 | Daniele Verde · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Albin Ekdal · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lisandru Tramoni · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nícolas · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1501.77 | 1479.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.96 | -18.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 45.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| league points | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.40 | 27.72 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |