← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 37% | 2.76 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Hernani · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 46' | ⚽ | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Mikael Ellertsson · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antonio Čolak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 340.00 | 432.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1526.27 | 1590.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.03 | 17.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.85 |
| league points | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 26.01 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |