← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Ternana win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 10' | ⚽ | Tommy Maistrello · Cittadella |
| 29' | ⚽ | Claudio Cassano · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 60' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 84' | ⚽ | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 828.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1449.96 | 1376.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.18 | 7.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 27.44 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |