← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Oct 6, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Feralpisalo win | 22% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Brescia −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
| 18' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alessandro Pilati · Feralpisalo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 247.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1448.85 | 1436.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.84 | -20.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 26.97 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |