← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Oct 1, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Sudtirol win | 18% | 5.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Palermo −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 38' | ⚽ | Riccardo Ciervo · Sudtirol |
| 40' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Sudtirol |
| 43' | 🟨 | Giacomo Poluzzi · Sudtirol |
| 48' | ⚽ | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mamadou Coulibaly · Palermo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Aurelio · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Claudio Gomes · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Aurelio · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Cagnano · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 426.00 | 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1549.40 | 1551.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.67 | 13.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 43.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 4.82 | 4.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 28.10 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |