β Serie B 2023 Β· Sun, Oct 1, 02:15 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Lecco win | 16% | 6.17 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella β0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Lecco β0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | π¨ | Andrija Novakovich Β· Lecco |
| 14' | π¨ | Alessandro Caporale Β· Lecco |
| 20' | β½ | Artur IoniΘΔ Β· Lecco |
| 26' | π¨ | Lorenzo Carissoni Β· Cittadella |
| 34' | π¨ | Duccio Degli Innocenti Β· Lecco |
| 45' | π¨ | Matteo Angeli Β· Cittadella |
| 59' | π¨ | Alessandro Salvi Β· Cittadella |
| 62' | π¨ | NicolΓ² Buso Β· Lecco |
| 65' | π¨ | Tommy Maistrello Β· Cittadella |
| 87' | β½ | Filippo Pittarello Β· Cittadella |
| 89' | β½ | Claudio Cassano Β· Cittadella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 26 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | β |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 822.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | β |
| elo | 1441.33 | 1453.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.80 | β |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 48.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | β |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | β |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | β |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | β |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 74.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 45.75 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | β |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | β |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 29.33 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | β |