← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Venezia FC win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Modena −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Modena |
| 55' | ⚽ | Giorgio Altare · Venezia FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Shady Oukhadda · Modena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Venezia FC |
| 76' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · Venezia FC |
| 83' | ⚽ | Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason · Venezia FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Giorgio Altare · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 121.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1475.27 | 1510.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.09 | 1.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 25.95 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |