← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
| Feralpisalo win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Feralpisalo +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Spezia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Luca Ceppitelli · Feralpisalo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Spezia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Spezia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Salvatore Elia · Spezia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Spezia |
| 84' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Albin Ekdal · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 821.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1447.30 | 1491.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.55 | -67.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.86 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 3.73 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 25.81 |
| state index | -0.75 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |