← Serie B 2023 · Wed, Sep 27, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Bari win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 15' | ⚽ | Anthony Partipilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 34' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 46' | ⚽ | Marco Nasti · Bari |
| 55' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 81' | ⚽ | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 422.00 | 818.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1572.44 | 1559.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.07 | -5.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| league points | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.18 | 3.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.60 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |